Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 50% | |
| Sample Size | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Predictions by maskath@hotmail.com
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Neither angelina joli nor brad pitt will die in the next 12 months ( 98% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2010-04-18; known on 2011-07-02; judged right by Frank on 2011-07-02.
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Australia will at least make the quarter finals of the 2010 World Cup ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Pie4Life on 2010-06-01; known on 2010-06-25; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Another company will come out with a game console next generation thats not Microsoft, Sony, or Nintendo. ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Houshalter on 2010-06-13; known on 2017-06-01.
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The world will not end December 25, 2012. ( 98% confidence; 21 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Houshalter on 2010-06-13; known on 2012-12-26; judged unknown by Houshalter on 2010-06-26.
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Lakers will win NBA Finals ( 85% confidence )
Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-19; known on 2010-06-19; judged right by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-19.
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Another beloved celebrity will die before the year is over ( 89% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-01.
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Barack Obama will get reelected in two years (not individual opinion) ( 65% confidence; 14 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2012-11-06.
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Richmond will win the 2010 AFL wooden spoon ( 100% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Pie4Life on 2010-06-01; known on 2010-09-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-11.
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Lakers will win NBA Finals ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04; known on 2010-06-13.
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Iron Man 2 will be the top 10 movie in 2010 ( 69% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by melissasajeh on 2010-03-29; known on 2010-04-30; judged right by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04.
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Carlton will make 2010 Afl Finals ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-03-27; known on 2010-06-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.